Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.775285 0.887409 1.009111 1.150897 1.311423 1.487404 1.694830
2025-01-19 0.601294 0.752265 0.930067 1.154410 1.429399 1.754934 2.168987
2025-01-26 0.503309 0.683099 0.911183 1.220482 1.627571 2.143527 2.845357
2025-02-02 0.431291 0.631205 0.902800 1.296221 1.848587 2.593072 3.668505
2025-02-09 0.359046 0.564144 0.861256 1.318905 2.000995 2.973711 4.458081
2025-02-16 0.299013 0.502251 0.814896 1.324789 2.127858 3.334012 5.269183
2025-02-23 0.252272 0.451163 0.774807 1.331444 2.254011 3.707223 6.148088
2025-03-02 0.214116 0.406332 0.736115 1.332276 2.368443 4.074236 7.063059
2025-03-09 0.187105 0.375356 0.714681 1.357110 2.523769 4.523829 8.166412
2025-03-16 0.160150 0.339067 0.677322 1.346835 2.614805 4.874102 9.142568
2025-03-23 0.143060 0.318448 0.665014 1.379692 2.786382 5.382874 10.455086
2025-03-30 0.124281 0.290665 0.634033 1.371113 2.877418 5.754631 11.559830
2025-04-06 0.110687 0.271706 0.618382 1.392150 3.031922 6.269108 13.006463
2025-04-13 0.094688 0.244171 0.580145 1.360168 3.074730 6.573337 14.084066
2025-04-20 0.087247 0.235251 0.581061 1.412870 3.302086 7.272468 16.034303
2025-04-27 0.081721 0.229940 0.589272 1.483129 3.576999 8.101342 18.347468
2025-05-04 0.073457 0.215922 0.574589 1.497863 3.729594 8.689215 20.218413
2025-05-11 0.065451 0.200904 0.554875 1.497284 3.846470 9.212460 22.008103
2025-05-18 0.058642 0.187766 0.537641 1.500026 3.971294 9.767152 23.929585
2025-05-25 0.052481 0.175171 0.519639 1.497865 4.083559 10.305359 25.872837
2025-06-01 0.048138 0.167125 0.512594 1.523556 4.269285 11.036559 28.346974
2025-06-08 0.042931 0.155209 0.492612 1.510754 4.353544 11.532964 30.313610
2025-06-15 0.039879 0.149642 0.490054 1.546491 4.571451 12.381963 33.232357